“Do not choose a guide by its cowl” is an outdated saying that ought to be heeded when contemplating high-yield dividend shares. An important instance is the practically 15% yield on supply from AGNC Funding (NASDAQ: AGNC). It’s, in actual fact, too good to be true if you happen to want a dependable earnings stream. Most buyers would most likely be higher off with Realty Revenue (NYSE: O) and its 5.6% yield.
There may be nothing inherently improper with AGNC Funding. The mortgage actual property funding belief (REIT) has executed a reasonably respectable job of producing whole returns for its shareholders over time. However investing for whole return could be very completely different from investing for earnings.
In case you are investing for earnings, you most likely wish to accumulate and spend the dividends that an organization distributes. In case you are investing for whole returns, you will must reinvest the dividends to maximise your positive aspects. That distinction is necessary as a result of AGNC Funding would not behave like a standard REIT that owns properties. Consider it extra like an entity that invests in mortgage securities, that are pretty advanced funding merchandise. Simply take a look at the graph beneath and you will see why spending the lofty earnings stream AGNC Funding has supplied would have been a foul choice.
The blue line is the dividend, which rose sharply after the REIT’s IPO after which began to say no. The purple line is the inventory worth, which mainly tracked the dividend. When you spent your dividends alongside the way in which, you’ll now be amassing much less earnings and have a place that was value much less too. However the whole return line has risen materially as a result of the massive dividends have greater than made up for the falling share worth as AGNC Funding has purchased and bought mortgage securities over time. However you solely bought that return if you happen to reinvested the dividends.
There may be an argument to be made that the dividends collected over time have made up for the decline within the worth of the shares, for the reason that cumulative dividends plus the ending share worth worth would have left buyers with roughly $30,000 on an preliminary $10,000 funding. Nevertheless, if you happen to spent the dividends on residing bills you continue to ended the interval with a smaller earnings stream due to dividend cuts and a cloth loss in your preliminary funding. That is not a win for an income-focused investor.
AGNC Funding is suitable for a small group of buyers, however that group would not embody individuals looking for dependable earnings streams.
On the different finish of the reliable-income-stream spectrum is Realty Revenue. This internet lease REIT has elevated its month-to-month payouts yearly for 30 consecutive years. It has even elevated its dividends each quarter for over 100 quarters in a row. It’s most likely as shut as you will get to a inventory that may change a paycheck. Add in its engaging yield — 5.6% on the present share worth — and it is clear why dividend buyers ought to be digging in deep right here.