Alexandre Pantoja vs Kai Asakura Struggle Prediction, Picks & Finest Bets for UFC 310

Alexandre Pantoja will make his third flyweight title protection in opposition to promotional newcomer Kai Asakura at UFC 310 this night.

UFC odds aren’t giving the challenger a lot of an opportunity, putting in Pantoja as a -260 favourite, and my free betting picks agree with that evaluation. 

Listed here are my finest Pantoja vs Asakura predictions for December 7 from the T-Cellular Area in Las Vegas, Nevada. 

Pantoja vs Asakura prediction and choose

Struggle evaluation

Alexandre “The Cannibal” Pantoja received a cut up resolution in opposition to Brandon Moreno to assert the flyweight belt in 2023, and he is since defended the title with victories in opposition to Brandon Royal and Steve Erceg. He is now on a six-fight profitable streak, and that is his steepest moneyline worth throughout that span. 

It is uncommon to see a promotional newcomer get a title shot. Nonetheless, Dana White is thirsty for a Japanese celebrity to faucet into the Asian market, and Pantoja has already cleared out the shallow flyweight division. The UFC is clearly the most effective MMA promotion on the planet and I am unable to think about someone coming over from Rizin to right away beat an incumbent champ.

Asakura is the previous Rizin bantamweight champion, however regardless of a decrease stage of competitors, he was removed from dominant. The 31-year-old is coming off back-to-back knockout wins however is 7-3 in his final 10 fights.

It is no disgrace to lose to Hiromasa Ougikubo (whereas combating via a damaged hand), former UFC fighter Kyoji Horiguchi and present No. 9-ranked flyweight contender Manel Kape, however since Asakura misplaced to them, I do not see him defeating the well-rounded Pantoja. 

Asakura is the extra technical striker with good footwork and explosive energy. Nevertheless, Pantoja has a granite chin, so he’ll have the ability to come ahead and stress Asakura. Pantoja can be the much better grappler, and along with his capability to push the tempo, he’ll take Asakura down and grind out a win. 

Finest finest evaluation

All three of Pantoja’s title fights have been resolution victories, however I am anticipating a end from him right here. Remember that he nearly subbed Royval, and he knocked down the extremely sturdy Moreno. Previous to his title run, eight of his earlier 14 wins had come by the use of submission, and his grappling will likely be his greatest benefit on this battle.

Asakura has good takedown protection, however he hasn’t confronted someone with Pantoja’s relentless wrestling stress earlier than. Pantoja will ultimately drag him down, the place he’ll have the ability to preserve prime management or take his again. 

Even a KO/TKO win from Pantoja would not shock me since he knocked out Matt Schnell and Wilson Reis earlier in his UFC profession. Asakura has been knocked out 3 times in his profession and his sturdiness may very well be sapped from chopping to 125 kilos after combating at bantamweight for the final seven years.

Alexandre Pantoja vs Kai Asakura odds

Methodology of Victory	Pantoja	Asakura
To win outright	-260	+210
To win by KO/TKO	+425	+365
To win by resolution	+280	+850
To win by submission	+175	+2,500
Draw	+2,500	+2,500

Odds as of 12-7.

Alexandre Pantoja vs Kai Asakura story of the tape

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