Welcome to PFF’s betting market replace for Week 2 of bowl season.
This text will clarify the elements that drive line actions in betting markets, serving to you assess whether or not a change is an overreaction or underreaction to those market influences.
In the event you aren’t acquainted, Click on right here for a deeper clarification of what we purpose to attain every week.
We’ll additionally present an replace for every bowl recreation, the place market dynamics differ considerably and are largely influenced by switch portal entries, participant opt-outs and training modifications.
WASABI FENWAY BOWL: UCONN vs NORTH CAROLINA
|
Opener |
Present Line |
|
|
Unfold |
UNC -4 |
UNC -2.5 |
|
Complete |
55 |
52.5 |
Unfold: With a number of portal entries and opt-outs for the NFL draft, the Tar Heels have dropped from 4.5 to 2.5-point favorites. We’ve seen some continued assist for UCONN, as a couple of books have dropped this to 2.
Complete: The drop in complete displays the numerous absences for UNC within the bowl recreation, most notably RB Omarion Hampton, who declared for the draft. Moreover, the Tar Heels can be with out their head coach and offensive coordinator. The overall at present sits at 52.5 throughout the board.
Present Portal Gamers (min. 100 snaps)
BAD BOY MOWERS PINSTRIPE BOWL: BOSTON COLLEGE vs NEBRASKA
|
Opener |
Present Line |
|
|
Unfold |
NEB -4 |
NEB -4 |
|
Complete |
47 |
45.5 |
Unfold: The unfold initially dropped beneath 3 after Nebraska misplaced three starters to the portal, sparking widespread hypothesis that QB Dylan Raiola would possibly observe. Raiola put these rumors to relaxation, and the Cornhuskers have since rebounded to a 4-point favourite. Some 3.5s are nonetheless accessible.
Complete: The overall has steadily declined, falling 1.5 factors from the opener. It now sits at 45.5 throughout the board.
Present Portal Gamers (min. 100 snaps)
ISLETA NEW MEXICO BOWL: LOUISIANA vs TCU
|
Opener |
Present Line |
|
|
Unfold |
TCU -10 |
TCU -11.5 |
|
Complete |
59 |
59 |
Unfold: Louisiana enters as an 11.5-point underdog to TCU, largely attributable to accidents, together with the lack of their backup quarterback within the convention championship towards Marshall. The road briefly reached 13 earlier than settling again to 11.5. TCU, in the meantime, prevented vital losses throughout portal season.
Complete: The overall dropped as little as 57 however has since rebounded to its opening variety of 59.
Present Portal Gamers (min. 100 snaps)
POP-TARTS BOWL: IOWA STATE vs MIAMI
|
Opener |
Present Line |
|
|
Unfold |
ISU -1 |
MIA -3.5 |
|
Complete |
56 |
57 |
Unfold: The announcement that Cam Ward will play within the bowl recreation has brought about a big shift within the unfold. Whereas the extent of his participation stays unsure, the market has settled uniformly at 3.5 throughout all books.
Complete: The overall has risen to 57, though a couple of books are lagging, with numbers as little as 55.5.
Purchase/Promote: I’ll purchase the upward motion on the whole and lock in over 57, essentially the most broadly accessible quantity. That mentioned, Kambi retailers providing 55.5 current a robust worth as of Friday morning. The market could not have absolutely accounted for the impression of Ward’s return.
Present Portal Gamers (min. 100 snaps)
SNOOP DOGG ARIZONA BOWL: MIAMI (OH) vs COLORADO STATE
|
Opener |
Present Line |
|
|
Unfold |
MOH -1 |
MOH -2.5 |
|
Complete |
43.5 |
40.5 |
Unfold: The unfold briefly touched 3 earlier than the buy-back on Colorado State introduced it right down to 2.5. Each groups seem evenly matched when it comes to key losses from the switch portal and draft declarations.
Complete: Preliminary motion on the whole dropped it to 42, with additional downward momentum pushed by a decide launch, settling the road at 40.5.
Present Portal Gamers (min. 100 snaps)
GO BOWLING MILITARY BOWL: EAST CAROLINA vs NC STATE
|
Opener |
Present Line |
|
|
Unfold |
NCST -5.5 |
NCST -6.5 |
|
Complete |
58 |
58 |
Unfold: NC State briefly moved to a 7-point favourite earlier than buy-back dropped it to six.5. A couple of books have even adjusted additional to six.
Complete: The overall opened at 58 and has remained regular, with solely minor upward motion to 58.5 at choose books.
Present Portal Gamers (min. 100 snaps)
VALERO ALAMO BOWL: BYU vs COLORADO
|
Opener |
Present Line |
|
|
Unfold |
COL -3 |
COL -4 |
|
Complete |
54.5 |
55 |
Unfold: The Alamo Bowl is shaping up with some intrigue, as each Shedeur Sanders and Heisman Trophy winner Travis Hunter are anticipated to play. On this information, the unfold moved sharply from 3 to as excessive as 5.5 earlier than settling again to 4. Present market choices vary from 3.5 to 4.5. Notably, Colorado has weathered the switch portal season comparatively properly, preserving their roster intact.
Complete: The overall has seen a modest rise, shifting from 54.5 to 55. Books stay cut up between the 2 numbers.
Purchase/Promote: I’ll purchase into the over 54.5, because the market could not have absolutely reacted to the confirmed availability of Colorado’s star gamers.
Present Portal Gamers (min. 100 snaps)
RADIANCE TECHNOLOGIES INDEPENDENCE BOWL: LOUISIANA TECH vs ARMY
|
Opener |
Present Line |
|
|
Unfold |
ARMY -17 |
ARMY -16 |
|
Complete |
44 |
44 |
Unfold: LA Tech has stepped up and answered the decision to exchange Marshall after opt-outs left them almost incapable of fielding a roster for the Independence Bowl. There’s nothing else to report apart from a transfer right down to 16. There are nonetheless some 16.5s on the market.
Complete: This complete opened at 44 and has remained at 44.
Present Portal Gamers (min. 100 snaps)
TransPerfect MUSIC CITY BOWL: IOWA vs MISSOURI
|
Opener |
Present Line |
|
|
Unfold |
MIZ -2.5 |
MIZ -3 |
|
Complete |
39 |
40 |
Unfold: Regardless of WR Luther Burden opting out in preparation for the NFL draft, the Tigers have change into a 3-point favourite. The consensus line remains to be cut up between 2.5 and three, so you’ll find whichever aspect of the important thing quantity you want at an inexpensive worth.
Complete: There was a small tick-up from 39 to 40. A couple of books have taken it to 40.5, however we’ve but to see a 41 wherever.
