• Jayden Daniels might be part of the elite tier: Daniels exceeded expectations as a rookie and the Washington Commanders might significantly enhance the vast receiver room this offseason.
• Don’t depend out Brock Purdy: The San Francisco 49ers quarterback is one in every of 4 quarterbacks to rank within the top-10 in fantasy factors per sport for a quarterback every of the final two seasons.
• 2025 NFL Draft season is right here: Attempt PFF’s best-in-class Mock Draft Simulator and study 2025’s prime prospects whereas buying and selling and drafting on your favourite NFL staff.
Estimated studying time: 8 minutes
With the conclusion of the 2024 NFL season, these way-too-early 2025 fantasy soccer rankings are an preliminary have a look at how gamers could possibly be ranked this summer time.
Participant motion in free company may have a giant issue on the rankings, notably at operating again. For now, gamers anticipated to be unrestricted free brokers are marked as free brokers within the staff column.
These rankings are for redraft PPR leagues. Many of the logic is for single-quarterback leagues, however the basic order of the quarterbacks stays true for superflex leagues.
Final Up to date: 7:00 a.m Monday, January 20
Tier 1: The 24 points-per-game gamers
Allen and Jackson have been in a league of their very own relating to high quality and consistency. Within the final 5 seasons, Allen has completed among the many prime three quarterbacks in fantasy factors per sport. His worst season over the five-season stretch is best than anybody else’s common season. Allen additionally had the perfect PFF offensive grade amongst quarterbacks at the moment. His solely drawback this season was a scarcity of consistency early within the 12 months and some video games the place the Payments dominated with their run sport and didn’t want Allen to build up many stats for a decisive victory. A younger core of receivers, together with Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman and Dalton Kincaid, ought to assist hold Allen close to the highest of the place.
Jackson was the perfect fantasy quarterback final season. He completed among the many prime 12 fantasy quarterbacks in all however one sport and ranked within the prime six in 65% of his matchups. Whereas Jackson was the higher of the 2 quarterbacks this 12 months, there may be concern the offense gained’t be as dominant subsequent 12 months. Derrick Henry and Mark Andrews are previous the age gamers at these positions normally peak. Left sort out Ronnie Stanley shall be 31 years previous and a free agent. Jackson can also be effectively previous the age quarterbacks normally excel as a runner. There has by no means been one other quarterback like Jackson, so it’s exhausting to know when his speeding will regress, however he averaged one fewer carry per sport this season than every other season of his profession.
Allen and Jackson had two of the very best ADPs amongst quarterbacks final season, they usually have been the 2 more than likely to guide their groups to the fantasy playoffs and two of the highest 4 the 12 months earlier than. Their constant success ought to make them third-round picks in most leagues, and it’s doable their worth might get pushed to the second spherical.
Tier 2: The opposite quarterbacks to prioritize
These three quarterbacks averaged no less than 21 fantasy factors per sport final season. The primary means a quarterback has persistently hit 21 factors per sport over a number of seasons is by speeding. Hurts joins Allen and Jackson as the one quarterbacks with no less than 21 factors within the final two seasons. All three quarterbacks have completed this in no less than 4 of the final 5 seasons. They’ve rushed for no less than 550 speeding yards 13 occasions during the last 5 seasons, whereas all different quarterbacks mixed have seven. Whereas Hurts has plenty of worth from one-yard touchdowns, he would have nonetheless ranked among the many top-12 fantasy quarterbacks in factors per sport with out them.
Daniels is a riskier choice, however his upside is sufficient to rank third. He averaged 21.5 fantasy factors per sport regardless of a bumpy center a part of the season. He completed second in speeding makes an attempt and speeding yards. The Commanders have the third-most cap area heading into the offseason, in accordance with OverTheCap, and most of their vast receivers outdoors of Terry McLaurin are hitting free company. If the Commanders can convey in additional firepower on offense, that could possibly be sufficient to maneuver Daniels into the highest tier.
Burrow is the primary quarterback on the record who isn’t a runner. We haven’t seen a pocket passer have back-to-back wonderful seasons in recent times, however Burrow must be the exception. He’s averaged over 21.5 fantasy factors per sport in two of the final three seasons, with accidents taking their toll on his 2023 season. Burrow’s 92.9 PFF passing grade during the last three seasons is the clear greatest amongst quarterbacks. The Bengals’ offense and his receivers assist improve the hole between Burrow and the remainder of the passers. Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins‘ contract scenario might take a flip for the more serious, which might convey Mahomes down a tier.
Tier 3: Almost definitely to take a leap
There’s a massive hole between gaps two and three, as the highest 5 are fairly secure bets to achieve 21 fantasy factors per sport or higher, and arguments could possibly be made for many of the different beginning quarterbacks within the NFL to spherical out the highest 10. These three have the very best odds of ending within the prime 5 or, on the very least, prime 12.
Mahomes used to common no less than 22 fantasy factors per sport each season, however then he misplaced Tyreek Hill and the staff grew to become so dominant that it didn’t want Mahomes to place up wonderful numbers each week. Mahomes ought to have his greatest group of vast receivers in his profession subsequent season, led by Rashee Rice, who has a top-12 PFF offensive grade amongst vast receivers during the last two seasons mixed. Xavier Worthy had a top-40 receiving grade during the last eight weeks of the season after a sluggish begin to his rookie season. Kansas Metropolis will even play six of the opposite seven groups that made the divisional spherical and can face the up-and-coming Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers twice every. Mahomes will seemingly want larger numbers subsequent season and will have the receivers to take action.
Purdy was quietly one of the constant fantasy quarterbacks final season regardless of the 49ers’ catastrophe season. He was one in every of seven quarterbacks to complete among the many prime 12 fantasy quarterbacks for 60% of his video games and one in every of seven to complete among the many prime six in one-third of his video games. He completed this regardless of solely having Christian McCaffrey for 4 video games, Brandon Aiyuk for seven and Trent Williams for 10. A number of issues went flawed on and off the sphere, however the San Francisco 49ers’ historical past of success is sufficient to count on Purdy and the staff to show issues round. Purdy has been a top-10 fantasy quarterback throughout good occasions and dangerous, and he ought to keep among the many higher choices.
Nix is the ultimate quarterback of the three after a powerful rookie season. He completed eighth in fantasy factors per sport at 19.3. A part of this was a powerful season as a runner, with 92 speeding makes an attempt, the fifth-best amongst quarterbacks. The 4 quarterbacks forward of him have been the highest 4 quarterbacks on this record. The Broncos might make enhancements at each operating again and tight finish this offseason, which might additionally assist Nix’s manufacturing. Whereas each quarterbacks getting into their second seasons had sophomore slumps in 2024, that shouldn’t discourage anybody from taking an opportunity on Nix to have a greater second 12 months.
Tier 4: Wait and draft two
An argument could possibly be made for many established starters to complete as a fantasy starter. Most quarterbacks end effectively this season towards the correct opponents and battle towards the sturdy defenses. We’d see fantasy managers wait longer than ever to take their first quarterbacks in drafts due to the depth on the place, however then a run at quarterbacks to take each their first and second choices.
This tier consists of each quarterback who completed within the prime 13 fantasy factors per sport this season however wasn’t included within the prime three tiers. That group is led by Mayfield, who averaged 22.5 fantasy factors per sport final season. A giant a part of that was his 41 landing passes, tied for second-most amongst quarterbacks. Mike Evans shall be 32 earlier than subsequent season, Chris Godwin is a free agent, and offensive coordinator Liam Coen might go away to change into a head coach. Sufficient is working towards him to depart him out of the primary three tiers.
This tier additionally consists of Prescott, Love, Stroud and Richardson. All 4 ranked within the prime 12 in fantasy factors per sport final season however didn’t have as sturdy of performances in 2024. Accidents to these quarterbacks and their receivers impacted their poor seasons, and all 4 might bounce again.
Williams is the one quarterback on this record who wasn’t a borderline fantasy starter this 12 months or final. The primary total choose within the 2024 NFL Draft had a couple of wonderful video games, sufficient to point out his potential. He may have a brand new head coach and offensive coordinator, hopefully sufficient for a significantly better second season. He ranked seventh in speeding makes an attempt and speeding yards however wasn’t one of many 37 quarterbacks to attain a speeding landing. His speeding manufacturing provides him a comparatively excessive ground to combine along with his passing potential.
Tier 5: Purpose for optimism
This tier of quarterbacks helps to point out how deep the place is. Herbert scored the seventh-most fantasy factors for a quarterback during the last 9 weeks of the season. The explanation he’s this low is the Chargers wished to run the ball final season however ranked fourth-worst in staff run grade and within the backside half in staff run block grade. The Chargers have sufficient cap room to enhance the run sport this offseason, which can imply fewer go makes an attempt for Herbert.
Maye and Lawrence have been top-three draft picks on groups that may play for brand spanking new teaching staffs. Ward, Penix and McCarthy have minimal NFL expertise, nevertheless it’s solely doable any of the three might flip into star NFL gamers. Some too many quarterbacks have proven they are often fantasy starters to rank the inexperienced gamers any larger. McCarthy has an opportunity to rank a bit larger on the record within the Vikings quarterback-friendly offense if the staff doesn’t re-sign Sam Darnold.
