- Saquon Barkley is price the price: Barkley has persistently crushed up the Washington Commanders all through his profession, together with each his matchups in opposition to them this season when he had 150-plus yards and two touchdowns in each matchups.
- Make the most of a two-TE roster construct with Travis Kelce within the FLEX: Outdoors of quarterbacks, Kelce is the second-best fantasy possibility this weekend behind Barkley, and his worth makes him a steal for the flex spot.
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Estimated studying time: 7 minutes
The common fantasy season is over, however that doesn’t imply your fantasy soccer enjoyable is over. Get your DFS lineups submitted to benefit from the NFL playoff video games to the fullest! And I can assist you make the very best lineup! Under you’ll find my prime hearth (increase), ice (bust) gamers and sleepers for Convention Championship Weekend.
Don’t miss my Fireplace & Ice chart on the backside of this web page. There, I’ve listed out all of my hearth, good, sleeper and ice performs for Convention Championship Weekend.
Word: I used FanDuel’s full Sunday match slate for participant pricing. FanDuel makes use of half-PPR scoring so I used half-PPR knowledge in my beneath write-up.
Fireplace Performs of the Week
QB Jayden Daniels (at PHI)
FanDuel Price: $8,300 – Second amongst QBs
Younger, inexperienced quarterbacks usually fall flat on their faces within the postseason … however not Jayden Daniels. He has scored 22.3 and 25.1 fantasy factors in his first two NFL playoff video games whereas hitting 300 whole yards and turning over the ball zero occasions in each video games. Daniels is the one quarterback to have a number of video games with 300-plus yards within the 2024 postseason and the primary QB to ever have a number of such playoff video games as a rookie.
Daniels has scored at the very least 22 fantasy factors in every of his final seven full video games performed, together with his career-high 34.4-point efficiency in Week 16 in opposition to the Philadelphia Eagles. Daniels’ value is cheaper than Josh Allen’s this weekend, whereas he affords the identical upside — and presumably a safer ground — than Allen.
RB Saquon Barkley (vs. WAS)
FanDuel Price: $9,800 – First amongst RBs
Not solely has Saquon Barkley been elite all season lengthy, however he has persistently crushed up the Washington Commanders — he has averaged 137.5 scrimmage yards per sport in his 11 profession matchups in opposition to them. That’s the most by any participant in opposition to any opponent within the Tremendous Bowl Period (min. 10 video games performed). The Commanders had no solutions for Barkley of their two matchups within the common season, letting him destroy them for 150-plus yards and two touchdowns in each video games.
Barkley is the costliest participant in FanDuel DFS tournaments this weekend, however his worth a good and warranted particularly given the restricted elite fantasy choices throughout the 4 remaining playoff groups. Jahmyr Gibbs scored 32.5 factors in opposition to the Commanders final weekend and I anticipate the same output from Barkley this Sunday.
TE Travis Kelce (vs. BUF) as a flex play
FanDuel Price: $6,800 – Sixth amongst FLEX/First amongst TE
Travis Kelce is the second-best FLEX (RB/WR/TE) possibility exterior of Saquon Barkley, however he has solely the sixth-highest price ticket on the place — making him a improbable worth and a simple decide to your flex spot.
Kelce is only a completely different kind of beast within the playoffs. After a really underwhelming common season, Kelce exploded for 21.2 fantasy factors within the divisional spherical in opposition to the Houston Texans. He has now hit at the very least 21 fantasy factors in three of his final 4 playoff video games and has had greater than 70 receiving yards in 14 straight playoff performances. That’s double the longest such streak in NFL playoff historical past by any participant — Antonio Brown has the second longest playoff streak with seven straight video games of 70-plus yards.
Over his final 14 playoff video games, Kelce has averaged a ridiculous 20.5 fantasy factors per sport. Solely Christian McCaffrey (22.2) has averaged extra factors than Kelce within the playoffs since 2020 amongst non-QBs (minimal 5 video games).
Sleepers of the Week
WR Khalil Shakir (at KC)
FanDuel Price: $6,400 – Fifth amongst WRs
Khalil Shakir is the most cost effective WR1 in FanDuel full slate tournaments this weekend, whereas I consider he’s the second-best large receiver possibility, behind Washington Commanders’ Terry McLaurin, this weekend. Final weekend, Shakir accounted for 67 of Josh Allen’s 127 passing yards in opposition to the Baltimore Ravens. Josh Allen ought to need to depend on his arm way more typically to convey down Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs. Shakir led the Payments with 12 targets, eight receptions and 70 receiving yards of their first matchups in opposition to the Chiefs this season.
WR Dyami Brown (vs. PHI)
FanDuel Price: $5,400 – Eighth amongst WRs
After two years of doing little or no within the NFL, Dyami Brown has lastly had his get away this postseason. During the last two weeks, Brown has recorded a career-high 17.4 fantasy factors within the wild-card spherical after which a career-high six receptions and 98 yards within the divisional spherical. The teaching employees is beginning to belief Brown and had him on the sector for 83% of his staff’s offensive snaps final weekend.
Brown leads the Commanders with 187 receiving yards and has the identical variety of receptions as Terry McLaurin (11) within the 2024 postseason. The Philadelphia Eagles allowed each Puka Nacua and Demarcus Robinson to place up over 70 receiving yards in opposition to them final Sunday… and that was in heavy snow. The climate is meant to be a lot nicer this Sunday in Philadelphia, which ought to enable for a cleaner, extra pass-heavy sport.
RB Kareem Hunt (vs. BUF)
FanDuel Price: $6,000 – Fourth amongst RBs
Kareem Hunt is the most cost effective among the many lead backs taking part in this weekend. His worth is sensible because the Kansas Chiefs’ backfield has been a catastrophe since Isiah Pacheco’s return. Nonetheless, Hunt out-snapped and out-performed Pacheco by so much within the divisional spherical, and he has an opportunity to attain a few touchdowns in an anticipated high-scoring affair this Sunday.
Hunt is the one Chiefs operating again to get a goal-line carry since Week 4. He has had a goal-line carry in every of his final three video games and scored on every of these makes an attempt.
Ice Performs of the Week
RB Isiah Pacheco (vs. BUF)
FanDuel Price: $5,500 – Sixth amongst RBs
Even should you want an affordable operating again possibility, don’t waste a spot in your DFS roster with Isiah Pacheco. He has scored seven or fewer fantasy factors in six straight video games, together with back-to-back performances with precisely 1.8 factors. Final week, in a sport that the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs managed, Pacheco nonetheless solely noticed 5 carries for 18 yards with zero receptions. Plus, Pacheco has not had a goal-line carry since coming back from damage. He affords no upside or ground. Keep away.
WR A.J. Brown (vs. WAS)
FanDuel Price: $8,200 – First amongst WRs
Regardless of having simply three receptions for twenty-four yards within the 2024 postseason for a whopping 3.9 fantasy factors, A.J. Brown continues to be priced as the costliest large receiver in DFS full slate tournaments this weekend. I can’t make that make sense.
The standard rule of thumb when taking part in in massive tournaments is that you’re searching for gamers to attain 3 times their value, particularly for the top-priced gamers. So which means Brown would wish to come back via with roughly 24 fantasy factors this weekend … however he has not scored greater than 21 factors in any sport this season.
TE Dalton Kincaid (at KC)
FanDuel Price: $5,200 – Fourth amongst TEs
Goedert is just $700 extra, and Ertz is simply 300 extra…
Dalton Kincaid has scored fewer than 4 fantasy factors in three of his final 4 video games and has hit greater than eight factors in simply two weeks this complete season. Kincaid has two measly receiving touchdowns on the 12 months whereas averaging 33.7 receiving yards per sport. There has not been a single week this season that Kincaid has recorded 55 receiving yards or 12 fantasy factors. Actually astonishing for a man that had such excessive expectations to begin the season.
Dallas Goedert and Zach Ertz are a lot better choices and will not be way more costly than Kincaid this weekend. If for some purpose you’ll be able to’t afford Kelce, Goedert or Ertz, I might somewhat take a shot on Noah Grey, who’s $300 cheaper than Kincaid, and at the very least has a better likelihood to wrangle in a landing or two.
Fireplace & Ice Fantasy Soccer Performs
With DFS worth thought-about, beneath, I categorize each related fantasy participant into 5 completely different buckets: (1) hearth begins (greatest begins of the week); (2) thumbs up (good begins); (3) Dangerous gamers with upside (sleepers); (4) Ice begins (predicting dangerous efficiency from good participant); (5) Cease (should sits).
Word: If a participant/protection shouldn’t be listed, I both anticipate them to not play in convention championship weekend or am not contemplating beginning them in fantasy lineups.
