How Lions’ win over Packers severely dented Eagles’ probabilities of getting No. 1 seed, home-field benefit in NFC

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The Philadelphia Eagles are within the race for home-field benefit within the NFC playoffs, however their hopes of truly getting the No. 1 seed took a major hit with the Detroit Lions’ victory over the Inexperienced Bay Packers on Thursday evening. Philadelphia would have been in prime place to go Detroit if the Lions misplaced to Inexperienced Bay, however the victory considerably helped Detroit’s path in direction of the No. 1 seed, an opening-round bye and home-field benefit within the convention. 

The Lions will stay (no less than) one sport forward of the Eagles after Week 14 (Eagles host the Carolina Panthers this week) with 4 video games to play. This is a have a look at the Lions’ and Eagles’ remaining schedules:

With an Eagles victory on Sunday, they may nonetheless be one sport again of the Lions. Each the Eagles and Lions play AFC opponents in Week 15 earlier than ending off their common season schedule with three NFC opponents. The Lions maintain the primary tiebreaker for home-field benefit — convention file — which means a Week 15 loss to the Payments and an Eagles win over the Steelers would nonetheless hold Detroit forward of Philadelphia for the No. 1 seed within the NFC. That is as a result of the Lions can be 8-1 within the convention whereas the Eagles can be 7-2. 

Detroit has the opposite tiebreakers in hand, too, when going by means of the story of the tape for each the Lions and Eagles.

Race for home-field benefit 

General Document

12-1

10-2

Convention Document

8-1

6-3

Document in opposition to widespread opponents*

5-1

4-1

Power of victory

.507

.415

Power of schedule .506 .429
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*Widespread opponents are the Packers (Lions play Packers twice), Buccaneers, Cowboys, (Eagles play Cowboys twice), Jaguars, and Rams

Because the Lions and Eagles do not play one another within the common seaosn, these are the tiebreaking procedures for home-field benefit:

  1. Greatest won-lost-tied proportion in video games performed throughout the convention.
  2. Greatest won-lost-tied proportion in widespread video games, minimal of 4.
  3. Power of victory in all video games.
  4. Power of schedule in all video games.

The Lions are answerable for the race for home-field benefit, solely having to go 3-0 in opposition to their NFC opponents to wrap up the No. 1 seed (irrespective of the outcome to Buffalo). Even when the Lions beat the Payments and lose to one of many their remaining NFC opponents, Detroit would nonetheless get the No. 1 seed based mostly on energy of victory.

The Eagles should win out and hope the Lions lose to the Payments and a type of NFC opponents to safe home-field benefit. The Lions personal all of the tiebreakers if each groups find yourself with the identical file. 

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