Josh Allen’s MVP Pursuit: The place the Payments star separates himself from the pack

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• Allen has usually overcome a restricted supporting solid: He has performed MVP-caliber soccer for 4 straight seasons regardless of having an offensive supporting solid that has graded outdoors the highest 10 in every season.

• A QB speeding menace like no different: If his league-leading 93.8 PFF speeding grade holds up, Allen will set a PFF report by the season’s finish — breaking his personal report of 93.6 set in 2021.

• Unlock your edge with a PFF+ subscription: Get full entry to all of our in-season fantasy instruments, together with weekly rankings, WR/CB matchup charts, weekly projections, the Begin-Sit Optimizer and extra. Join now!

Estimated Studying Time: 5 minutes


Josh Allen is enjoying at an otherworldly stage, even by his requirements. He has led the Buffalo Payments, who have been speculated to regress this season, to a minimum of 30 factors in eight straight video games, seven of them victories.

Allen is on tempo to change into the primary quarterback in PFF historical past to earn a 90.0-plus general grade in 5 straight seasons. At present, he’s tied at 4 for that report with Tom Brady, who did so in every season from 2015 to 2018.

So, what’s it about Allen this 12 months that makes his MVP case so compelling? The solutions are as multifaceted as his dynamic play fashion.


1. A ‘Lesser’ Supporting Solid

After the Payments traded star wideout Stefon Diggs to Houston, there was considered a void within the staff’s receiving corps. Gamers like Khalil Shakir, Dalton Kincaid and Curtis Samuel have been the nominal headliners coming into the season. In addition they misplaced longtime heart Mitch Morse in free company and confronted main questions on whether or not the extra conservative method they adopted down the stretch final season might work.

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It seems that Allen is used to carrying this kind of supporting solid to success.

Payments PFF Offensive Grades (Excluding QBs)
2024 76.9 (eleventh)
2023 74.7 (eleventh)
2022 72.8 (fifteenth)
2021 76.0 (T-14th)

Allen has performed MVP-caliber soccer for 4 straight seasons regardless of having an offensive supporting solid that has graded outdoors the highest 10 in every season. For comparability’s sake, the Ravens, who boast Allen’s greatest challenger to the MVP award in Lamar Jackson, ranked sixth in Jackson’s MVP marketing campaign final 12 months and rank third this season.

Allen additionally has to supply at an especially excessive stage as a result of his protection usually forces him to, as we’ve seen over the previous two weeks. The Payments are presently tied for twenty seventh within the NFL in PFF defensive grade. Solely two of their defensive starters boast a PFF general grade above 70.0 by way of Week 15. Allen is constantly creating extra manufacturing with much less round him than any quarterback within the NFL.


2. Elite Play By means of the Air, with Improved Ball Safety

Allen’s 33 big-time throws and seven.2% big-time throw price lead the NFL. Whereas that isn’t essentially breaking information, he’s doing so whereas operating a career-low 2.5% turnover-worthy play price. Over his previous six video games, he’s generated an unbelievable 15 big-time throws in comparison with only one turnover-worthy play.

There are solely 10 different situations in PFF historical past the place a quarterback posted a minimum of a 7% big-time throw price and a 2.5% turnover-worthy play price or higher. Amongst these seasons are two Aaron Rodgers MVP campaigns, Tom Brady’s 2020 Tremendous Bowl run and unbelievable campaigns from gamers like Russell Wilson and Ben Roethlisberger of their respective primes.

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Allen continues to enhance regardless of being within the midst of his seventh season. He’s additionally improved in 2024 because the 12 months has progressed. Since a dismal Week 5 outing in Houston by which he accomplished simply 9 of his 30 passes, Allen sits inside the highest 5 in PFF passing grade whereas main the league in turnover-worthy play price.

Allen is producing at an elite stage by way of the air whereas additionally placing the ball in much less hazard.


3. Effectivity on the Floor

If his league-leading 93.8 PFF speeding grade holds up, Allen will set a PFF report by the season’s finish. After all, he could be breaking his personal report of 93.6, which he set in 2021.

If we take away kneel-downs, which account for eight of his 91 carries this season, Allen has rushed for five.9 yards per run whereas selecting up a primary down or landing 54.2% of the time. Solely Patrick Mahomes has transformed at a better price amongst quarterbacks with a minimum of 25 carries, and he has almost 50 fewer carries than Allen.

Allen’s legs have additionally allowed him to primarily break the principles of year-to-year volatility that comes with quarterback grades when they’re pressured. For the third time in 4 seasons, Allen leads the NFL in PFF speeding grade when underneath stress. His talents to flee the pocket, be a real twin menace and diagnose when to scramble are almost equivalent to that of Lamar Jackson.

Josh Allen has had a official MVP case in every of the previous 4 seasons. He’s continued to enhance to the purpose the place he’s almost unstoppable. If he continues to play the best way he has these days, he’s prone to lastly deliver residence an MVP award.

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