• QB Bo Nix, Denver Broncos — over 219.5 passing yards & over 2.5 passing touchdowns: A lot of the credit score for this workforce’s success belongs to move coach Sean Payton and his rookie quarterback, Bo Nix, who’s rapidly constructing a powerful case for Offensive Rookie of the 12 months. Since Week 9, Nix has earned an 83.5 PFF passing grade — the third-highest within the NFL — whereas main the league with an 84.7% adjusted completion share. He additionally threw eight landing passes throughout that span, probably the most by any quarterback with out an interception.
• Unlock your edge with a PFF+ subscription: Get full entry to all our in-season fantasy instruments, together with weekly rankings, WR/CB matchup charts, weekly projections, the Begin-Sit Optimizer and extra. Sign up now!
Estimated studying time: 3 minutes
Sport Overview
The Week 13 slate wraps up on Monday night time with an AFC showdown because the stunning Browns journey to Denver, seeking to spoil the Broncos’ playoff aspirations.
After beginning November with a disheartening blowout loss in Baltimore, the Broncos have responded with three straight robust performances, leading to covers and ending the month 3-1 in opposition to the unfold (ATS). Denver now boasts a share of the league’s finest ATS file at 9-3, together with an ideal 5-0 mark as the favourite.
This Broncos protection has been the spine of their success, offering sufficient respiration room for his or her younger quarterback to play free and confidently with a lead. The unit has been remarkably environment friendly, rating second in EPA allowed per play and high 5 in scoring drive share allowed (30.8%).
Cleveland, in the meantime, has struggled to search out constant success in betting markets, sitting at 4-7 ATS. Nonetheless, they’ve proven they’ll catch groups off guard when underestimated. Over their final 4 video games, the Browns are 2-2 each straight up and ATS, together with two outright wins in opposition to AFC playoff contenders.
That stated, Cleveland’s inconsistency looms massive, as they’re simply two weeks faraway from a 35-14 loss to a sub-.500 Saints workforce in New Orleans. Whereas Jameis Winston has added a slight spark to the passing sport, the Browns‘ lack of a dependable operating assault has left them one-dimensional. Even with Nick Chubb again within the lineup, Cleveland ranks lifeless final in explosive run share (5.6%) since Week 7, failing to reignite the speeding assault they’d hoped for.
QB Bo Nix, Denver Broncos: Over 219.5 passing yards & over 2.5 passing touchdowns
A lot of the credit score for this workforce’s success belongs to move coach Sean Payton and his rookie quarterback, Bo Nix, who’s rapidly constructing a powerful case for Offensive Rookie of the 12 months. Since Week 9, Nix has earned an 83.5 PFF passing grade — the third-highest within the NFL — whereas main the league with an 84.7% adjusted completion share. He additionally threw eight landing passes throughout that span, probably the most by any quarterback with out an interception.
Over his final 5 video games, the younger quarterback has surpassed 220 passing yards and thrown for at the very least two touchdowns in the identical sport 3 times, together with in every of the previous two weeks.
Cleveland’s protection unit has struggled to restrict passing manufacturing, notably lately. Since Week 9, the Browns’ protection grade sits at simply 55.4, rating within the backside third of the league. Their incapacity to stop huge performs has been a key problem, as they’ve allowed the second-highest charge of completions of 15-plus yards (21.6%).
This vulnerability has allowed opposing quarterbacks to surpass each benchmarks in 4 of their final six video games.
