PFF breaks down Week 16’s Monday Night time Soccer matchup by taking a look at each groups’ information, key tendencies and a sport overview earlier than delivering one of the best guess backed by PFF’s trusted betting mannequin.
New Orleans Saints vs Inexperienced Bay Packers (-13.5) [Total: 42.5]
Sport Overview
The Week 16 slate concludes with an NFC matchup with extra playoff implications than it would initially appear. Whereas the Saints have been eradicated from Wild Card competition, they nonetheless cling to slim hopes of claiming the NFC South, needing to win out and get vital assist. In the meantime, the Packers intention to lock of their playoff berth with a win or tie, although they continue to be on the periphery of the NFC North title race.
The Packers have been on a formidable run since coming back from their bye in Week 11, posting a 3-1-1 report in opposition to the unfold over that span. Nonetheless, their total 7-6-1 ATS mark this season will face its hardest check but, as they haven’t encountered a ramification of greater than a landing all yr.
Inexperienced Bay has been firing on all cylinders since Week 11, incomes top-eight total grades on each offense (83.3) and protection (71.9). The Packers have outscored opponents by 13 or extra factors in three of their final 5 video games, together with a dominant street win over Seattle final week.
The Saints, in the meantime, face an uphill battle as they navigate uncertainty at quarterback. Final week, New Orleans turned to Jake Haener over rookie Spencer Rattler, a choice that proved pricey. Haener managed simply 38 web yards of offense within the first half earlier than being benched for Rattler, who practically orchestrated a comeback. Rattler has been named the starter for this week’s sport.
Whereas Rattler helped the Saints safe a backdoor cowl in opposition to Washington, he hasn’t been profitable in betting markets throughout his restricted begins this season. In his begins from Weeks 6 by 8, the fifth-round rookie went 0-3 ATS.
Including to the Saints’ challenges, the workforce has struggled on the street, posting a 2-4 ATS report away from New Orleans this season. Their final street cowl got here all the way in which again in September.
RB Josh Jacobs, Inexperienced Bay Packers: Over 21.5 carries (-105)
At first look, 21.5 carries may look like a excessive bar to clear, however Josh Jacobs has been the epitome of a workhorse again. Since coming back from their bye in Week 11, Jacobs has logged 107 carries, accounting for 74.3% of the Raiders’ designed runs.
Whereas he’s surpassed this line solely twice in his final 5 video games, the matchup performs closely in his favor. The Saints have struggled to cease the run all season, incomes the league’s second-worst workforce run protection grade (46.7).
Compounding their points, New Orleans’ offense is looking for solutions after dropping its final dependable playmaker, Alvin Kamara. With restricted choices to hold the load, the Saints are left scrambling to seek out consistency.
Add snowy circumstances in Inexperienced Bay to the equation, and the sport script is about for Jacobs to be closely concerned from the outset.
