NFL Divisional Spherical Betting Pocket book

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I’ve been placing collectively notes for each sport that Judah Fortgang and I contact on through the betting episode of the PFF NFL Present every week, and I’ve since prolonged that to game-by-game betting notes for the complete slate every week.

The thought is to place my analysis and ideas onto paper in a quick-hitting, bulleted format to assist myself work via what bets I need to place every week. Hopefully, you’re in a position to get comparable betting worth from this text as you’re employed via your decision-making course of. 

Every sport will embody data-driven and contextual notes for each side of the ball with an “Angles I Like” abstract on the finish that rapidly summarizes how I’m most probably to wager the sport from spreads, totals and participant props views.


HOUSTON TEXANS @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (CHIEFS -8.5, 41.5 TOTAL)

  • These groups performed in Kansas Metropolis a number of weeks in the past, a 27-19 victory for the Chiefs.
    • The largest query going into that contest was how Patrick Mahomes, on a foul ankle, would be capable to navigate Houston’s move rush behind a below-average deal with unit.
      • Mahomes answered that query by getting the ball out in lower than 2.5 seconds on common. He dissected the Texans with fast beneath passes, going 21-of-24 for 171 yards on throws 5 yards or much less downfield.
    • It was a high-volume passing sport for Mahomes, with the Chiefs passing on 68% of performs regardless of taking part in with a lead all through. He ended with 41 move makes an attempt (fourth most in a sport this season).
    • Houston’s move rush wrecked the Chargers’ offensive sport plan within the wild-card spherical, so I count on the Chiefs to deploy the same method as of their earlier assembly.
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