If you happen to thought that the Bears’ game-ending blunder was unhealthy or that Justin Tucker’s fall from GOAT standing was robust, think about being on the fallacious facet of each of these bets this previous week.
My NFL Projection Mannequin had the over within the Bears/Lions on Thanksgiving, which might have significantly benefitted from the Bears taking part in like a standard group and kicking a subject objective to go to additional time. And we have been on the Ravens and the over with Justin Tucker’s kicking woes. In no way is there a assure that these performs would’ve received in any other case, however I do really feel fairly assured that the Ravens would have overwhelmed the Eagles if they’d a reliable kicking recreation. However they don’t, and that’s famous for the longer term.
Final week’s report: 0-4, -4.40 models
Season report: 26-32-3, -8.10 models, -12.4% ROI
If you happen to imagine in regressing to the imply, properly, we’re due. We’re 2-10-1 during the last three weeks, which has just about all however ruined the 12 months. There are 5 weeks left, plus the playoffs, so hopefully we will get this factor circled beginning now. As all the time, store round for the perfect worth and good luck to us!
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Finest bets for NFL Week 14
Inexperienced Bay Packers +3.5 (-115) at Detroit Lions
If you happen to gleaned any takeaways from the Bears-Lions Thanksgiving matchup apart from the Bears’ incompetency, it was that the Detroit protection was completely gutted throughout the recreation. Nicely, every week later, issues aren’t trying significantly better. Possibly the Lions simply rating all around the Packers protection, however I believe there’s a good likelihood the Packers put up a bunch of factors right here and have an opportunity to win outright.
- Worst worth to wager: Packers +3 (-110)
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers underneath 44.5 (-110)
Each of those groups have been significantly better on offense since making modifications at quarterback, and I’m going to wager towards that. The Steelers ought to have their full pass-rushing bundle wholesome for the primary time since September, and I believe the market is overlooking that. Now, I’m not going to say I’m in love with betting an underneath involving Jameis Winston. The man is a gunslinger, and brief fields and interception returns for touchdowns are all the time on the desk. However so are crimson zone interceptions, as we noticed on the finish of the Broncos recreation. It’s not enjoyable, however I believe factors could also be at a premium right here.
- Worst worth to wager: Below 44 (-115)
Miami Dolphins -6 (-110) vs. New York Jets
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins over 44.5 (-110)
Sauce Gardner’s standing is up within the air and I’m undecided the Jets are totally concerned about profitable video games. The Dolphins, then again, don’t have any drawback beating unhealthy groups. I’m betting each the facet and whole on this recreation as a result of I believe this can be a good matchup for the Dolphins offense, which hasn’t fairly hit its stride but this 12 months. And likewise, the Jets are a multitude. Go Phins.
- Worst worth to wager: Dolphins -6.5 (-115) and over 45 (-110)
Kansas Metropolis Chiefs -3.5 (-115) vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Ladd McConkey’s working by one thing, and in case you paid consideration to the Chargers in any respect this 12 months, he’s just about their solely possibility within the passing recreation. And he’s fairly darn good, too. McConkey ranks ninth and eleventh amongst certified large receivers in EPA/route and yards/route. With him probably off the board, I might see the Chargers taking it calmly this week as this recreation has little or no impression on their playoff odds. After all, I additionally know that the Chiefs profitable by any form of margin in a regular-season recreation is all the time a sweat, and I anticipate nothing lower than a sweat on Sunday.
- Worst worth to wager: Chiefs -4 (-110)
(Photograph of Josh Jacobs: Stacy Revere / Getty Pictures)
