NFL Picks Towards the Unfold for Week 14

• I went 7-5 in my NFL Week 13 ATS picks and 2-1 in my finest bets final week
• In NFL Week 14, I’m two underdogs and one favourite for my finest bets
• Hold studying for all of SBD’s Week 14 skilled ATS picks

There are simply 5 weeks left within the common season. NFL Week 14 can also be the final week of the season with byes then each staff can be in motion from right here on out. After a few weeks of struggling towards the unfold, underdogs bounced again a bit of bit final week and went 9-7 ATS general. In my finest bets for Week 14, there are two underdogs and one favourite that I’m concentrating on to cowl the unfold.

See under for all my NFL ATS picks for Week 14.

NFL Week 14 Picks Towards the Unfold

Odds as of Friday, December 6 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Ensure you declare the perfect DraftKings promo code earlier than locking in your NFL Week 14 bets.

Week 14 ATS Decide #1: Browns +6.5 vs Steelers

When you have been maintaining with this text each week, you understand how a lot I like underdogs in AFC North matchups. Three weeks in the past, I guess on the Steelers vs. the Ravens and gained, and two weeks in the past, I guess on the Browns on Thursday Evening Soccer vs. the Steelers. Final week, Steelers +3 was certainly one of my finest bets towards the Bengals, and so they gained outright. I additionally guess on the Browns vs the Ravens earlier within the 12 months to cowl as large favorites. Since 2018, underdogs in AFC North matchups are 50-31 (61.73%) towards the unfold, so if it ain’t broke, don’t repair it.

Underdogs in AFC North matchups at the moment are 50-31 (61.73%) towards the unfold since 2018 ‼️

Steelers +3 ✅ pic.twitter.com/L1sZIKWJVU

— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) December 1, 2024

Now the Browns haven’t gained in Pittsburgh since 2003, however we don’t want them to win, we simply want them to maintain this sport shut. Kevin Stefanski has additionally been good on quick relaxation. Cleveland misplaced and did not cowl the unfold final week in depressing vogue on Monday Evening Soccer, however they nonetheless performed nicely and had an actual shot of successful that sport. Below Stefanski, the Browns are 9-2 straight up and 8-3 towards the unfold when enjoying on quick relaxation.

These two groups know one another very nicely, so I’m going to guess on the Browns to maintain this sport nearer than the unfold suggests. If  Jameis Winston can restrict the decide sixes and Cleveland’s protection could make just a few performs, this can be one more shut AFC North battle. I’ll take the Browns plus the factors on Sunday.

Week 14 ATS Decide #2: Dolphins -5.5 vs Jets

The Jets have been atrocious down the stretch. After beating the Texans on Halloween, they’ve misplaced (and did not cowl) in three straight video games. New York is simply 3-9 towards the unfold this season and 1-8 ATS over their final 9 video games.

Since Tua Tagovailoa returned from damage, the Dolphins have seemed good. They’re 4-2 towards the unfold in these six video games, and the offense has averaged 27 factors per sport. I’m not taking their Thanksgiving sport into a lot consideration as it’s well-known that the Dolphins don’t play nicely within the chilly. For this sport, they’re again in sunny Miami to play a division opponent that they know nicely. Miami has dominated this collection of late successful seven of the final eight matchups.

We have now additionally seen the Dolphins beat up on unhealthy groups. In his profession, Tua is 22-8 straight up and 19-11 towards the unfold when enjoying groups under .500. He’s additionally 14-7 ATS towards these groups at residence. The once-great Jets protection has given up no less than 26 factors to offenses inferior to Miami’s. I’ll take the Dolphins to cowl the unfold at residence on prolonged relaxation.

• Decide: Dolphins -5.5 (-112)

Week 14 ATS Decide #3: Rams +3.5 vs Payments

I’m taking a deep breath and trusting the state of affairs for this guess. The Payments have gained seven in a row and simply beat the Chiefs and 49ers of their final two video games. They’re enjoying nice soccer proper now and are admittingly terrifying to guess towards, however the Rams provide some worth on this spot.

The NFL odds have the Rams as 3.5-point residence underdogs to the Payments on Sunday. Buffalo can be a preferred guess on Sunday, and the NFL betting splits present 80% of the betting deal with is on the Payments to cowl the unfold on the time of publishing.

NFL groups receiving probably the most bets at @DKSportsbook 🎟️

1. Payments -3.5
2. Chargers +4
3. Bears +3.5
4. Dolphins -5.5
5. Eagles -13 pic.twitter.com/rq0NjZPLX4

— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) December 6, 2024

As talked about earlier, the Payments simply performed the Chiefs and 49ers to clinch their division. Subsequent week, Buffalo performs the Lions in what might doubtlessly be the sport of the 12 months. It is a mixture of a letdown and a look-ahead spot for the Payments. The Rams however are 6-6 and battling for a playoff spot in a good NFC West race. I like getting over a subject aim at residence with a proficient Rams staff that has one thing to play for.