PFF breaks down Week 16’s Saturday doubleheader by reviewing the groups’ data, key tendencies and sport overviews earlier than delivering one of the best wager backed by PFF’s trusted betting mannequin.
Houston Texans vs Kansas Metropolis Chiefs(-3.5) [Total: 42]
Recreation Overview
The primary leg of this Saturday’s NFL doubleheader contains a showdown between the back-to-back AFC South champion Texans and the nine-time AFC West champion Chiefs.
Kansas Metropolis can exhale after Patrick Mahomes returned to apply this week following an damage scare in Week 15. The Chiefs stay targeted on holding off Buffalo for the AFC’s No. 1 seed.
Regardless of their success, Kansas Metropolis has struggled in betting markets, masking simply as soon as since October. Nevertheless, they’ve been dependable in tighter matchups, boasting a 3-0 ATS report as favorites of 4 factors or fewer.
Houston, like Kansas Metropolis, not often finds itself as an underdog however holds a decent 2-1 ATS report in such situations. On the highway, the Texans have been inconsistent, compiling a 3-3-1 ATS report this season.
TE Travis Kelce, Kansas Metropolis Chiefs: Over 5.5 Receptions (+112)
With Patrick Mahomes set to play regardless of nursing a young ankle, anticipate the star quarterback to concentrate on distributing the ball to his weapons, setting the stage for a major workload for tight finish Travis Kelce. Kelce has remained a key goal on this offense, surpassing his receptions line in 5 of the previous eight video games.
Kelce’s potential quantity is promising, particularly in opposition to a Texans protection that has struggled to comprise tight ends within the absence of linebacker Azeez Al-Shaair. Over the previous two video games, Houston has allowed Dolphins TE Jonnu Smith and Jaguars TE Evan Engram to mix for 16 receptions and 89 yards.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens (-6.5) [Total: 44.5]
Recreation Overview
The race for the AFC North crown intensifies because the Steelers and Ravens face off in a pivotal matchup. A Pittsburgh win would clinch the division title, whereas a Baltimore victory would safe a playoff spot and preserve their divisional hopes alive.
After boasting one of many league’s greatest against-the-spread (ATS) data via Week 11, Pittsburgh has cooled off, going 2-2 ATS over the previous 4 video games. Traditionally, Mike Tomlin’s squad thrives as underdogs, holding a 5-1 ATS report in such conditions this season. Nevertheless, final week’s two-touchdown loss as highway underdogs in Philadelphia might give bettors pause.
This sport is a rematch of the groups’ Week 11 conflict, the place Baltimore’s protection held Pittsburgh and not using a landing however nonetheless fell 18-16.
The Ravens will look to show themselves at dwelling, the place they’ve struggled to fulfill betting expectations, posting a 2-3-1 ATS report at M&T Financial institution Stadium.
RB Justice Hill, Baltimore Ravens: Over 31.5 Speeding & Receiving yards
Whereas the highlight typically shines elsewhere within the backfield, Hill’s contributions stay crucial. The versatile again has established himself as a dependable receiving choice, incomes an 89.1 PFF receiving grade — the fourth-highest amongst working backs. In Week 15, Hill hauled in 5 receptions for 61 yards, additional showcasing his worth.
The final time these groups met, Hill tallied 41 yards of offense on six touches. That versatility may problem the Steelers once more, particularly after they struggled to comprise opposing backs in protection final week. Philadelphia’s Kenneth Gainwell and Saquon Barkley mixed for 5 receptions and 49 yards in opposition to Pittsburgh.
