The facility rankings under present clear tiers on every NFL staff’s market evaluation, providing a complete view of staff standings and future prospects. All the info under and extra might be present in PFF’s energy rankings device, which is on the market with a PFF+ subscription.
It’s vital to notice that these rankings think about extra than simply win-loss information and playoff seeding. Elements like participant and team-level grades, offensive and defensive effectivity, prior efficiency from previous seasons, and energy of schedule all play a job. This is the reason groups with worse information and slimmer playoff hopes might rank greater than these with higher information who’ve managed wins towards weaker opponents or delivered inconsistent performances from key gamers.
JUMP TO A TEAM:
ARZ | ATL | BLT | BUF | CAR | CIN | CHI | CLE | DEN | DAL | DET | GB | HOU | IND | JAX | KC| LVR | LAC | LAR | MIA | MIN | NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF | SEA | TB | TEN | WSH
1. Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
Power of schedule up to now: 23
Power of schedule remaining: 4
Projected avg. wins: 15.60
% probability of creating the playoffs: 100.00
% probability of successful the division: 100.00
% probability of successful the convention: 40.67
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 20.45
The Chiefs aren’t a traditional 15-1 staff. They’ve but to attain 30 factors in a sport and the protection has been cold and hot — although it’s knuckled down in current weeks — however Kansas Metropolis is proving to be extra unbeatable than ever. Middle Creed Humphrey’s 93.3 grade is second amongst facilities.
2. Philadelphia Eagles
Power of schedule up to now: 24
Power of schedule remaining: 27
Projected avg. wins: 13.71
% probability of creating the playoffs: 100.00
% probability of successful the division: 99.20
% probability of successful the convention: 23.58
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 12.78
The Eagles misplaced Jalen Hurts to an early concussion towards the Commanders in Week 16, leaving Kenny Pickett to information the offense. Whereas he led six scoring drives, it wasn’t sufficient to carry off a late surge. Philadelphia surrendered 22 fourth-quarter factors and fell 36-33. The loss retains the NFC East title up for grabs, and Hurts’ standing stays unsure for Week 17. A.J. Brown’s 91.1 grade is third amongst receivers.
3. Detroit Lions
Power of schedule up to now: 19
Power of schedule remaining: 7
Projected avg. wins: 14.26
% probability of creating the playoffs: 100.00
% probability of successful the division: 71.99
% probability of successful the convention: 34.94
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 18.86
The Lions rebounded from their Week 15 loss to the Payments in dominant vogue, cruising to a 34-17 highway victory over the Bears to enhance to 13-2. It marks the primary time in franchise historical past that Detroit has reached 13 wins, solidifying their standing as NFC favorites regardless of quite a few accidents. No staff performs more durable than Dan Campbell’s squad. The Lions’ 93.1 staff grade leads the NFL.
4. Buffalo Payments
Power of schedule up to now: 14
Power of schedule remaining: 26
Projected avg. wins: 13.62
% probability of creating the playoffs: 100.00
% probability of successful the division: 100.00
% probability of successful the convention: 20.55
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 10.29
The Payments overcame an early 14-0 deficit to keep away from an upset towards the Patriots, leaning on their protection and floor sport to safe a hard-fought victory. Whereas it wasn’t Josh Allen’s greatest efficiency, the win retains him on monitor for his first MVP award. Allen’s 90.9 grade ranks third amongst quarterbacks.
5. Baltimore Ravens
Power of schedule up to now: 1
Power of schedule remaining: 31
Projected avg. wins: 11.87
% probability of creating the playoffs: 100.00
% probability of successful the division: 92.63
% probability of successful the convention: 20.26
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 10.85
The Ravens’ Week 16 victory over the Steelers introduced each groups to 10-5 within the AFC North, however Baltimore nonetheless wants Pittsburgh to lose a minimum of another sport to say the division. It marked the Ravens’ first win over their rivals since 2022 and Lamar Jackson’s first since 2019. Nonetheless, it was Derrick Henry who dominated, racking up 162 speeding yards and incomes a league-best 92.5 grade amongst operating backs.
Lamar Jackson then etched his title within the NFL file books in Week 17, breaking the league’s profession speeding file for quarterbacks within the Baltimore Ravens‘ dominant 31-2 victory over the Houston Texans. Jackson rushed for 87 yards and a rating whereas throwing for 168 yards and two touchdowns, main the Ravens’ commanding efficiency. Together with his efforts, Jackson surpassed Michael Vick’s long-standing file of 6,109 profession speeding yards, bringing his whole to six,110 and solidifying his place as probably the most dynamic quarterbacks in NFL historical past.
6. Minnesota Vikings
Power of schedule up to now: 31
Power of schedule remaining: 1
Projected avg. wins: 13.93
% probability of creating the playoffs: 100.00
% probability of successful the division: 28.01
% probability of successful the convention: 15.71
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 7.89
Justin Jefferson’s late landing sealed a back-and-forth victory for the Vikings over the Seahawks, protecting them stage with the Lions atop the NFC North at 13-2. Minnesota seems like a formidable playoff contender, excelling on either side of the ball and discovering methods to win in key moments. Sam Darnold has been excellent down the stretch, incomes an 86.0 grade — the sixth-highest amongst quarterbacks.
7. Inexperienced Bay Packers
Power of schedule up to now: 12
Power of schedule remaining: 16
Projected avg. wins: 12.23
% probability of creating the playoffs: 100.00
% probability of successful the division: 0.00
% probability of successful the convention: 8.67
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 4.15
The Packers dominated the Saints on Monday night time, rolling to a 34-0 victory behind a robust floor sport and a stifling defensive efficiency. The win clinched a playoff spot for Inexperienced Bay, solidifying them as a staff to observe within the postseason. Josh Jacobs’ 91.1 grade ranks third amongst operating backs this season.
8. Pittsburgh Steelers
Power of schedule up to now: 11
Power of schedule remaining: 17
Projected avg. wins: 10.57
% probability of creating the playoffs: 100.00
% probability of successful the division: 7.37
% probability of successful the convention: 4.85
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 1.96
The Steelers have been outclassed of their 17-point loss to the Ravens in Week 16 and fell 29-10 to the Chiefs in Week 17. The Steelers now have to lock in and maintain enterprise. T.J. Watt’s 92.1 grade ranks third amongst edge rushers this season.
9. Houston Texans
Power of schedule up to now: 15
Power of schedule remaining: 29
Projected avg. wins: 9.70
% probability of creating the playoffs: 100.00
% probability of successful the division: 100.00
% probability of successful the convention: 5.45
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 2.07
Tank Dell’s critical knee damage will overshadow many of the discourse following the loss to the Chiefs in Week 16. Dell dislocated his kneecap on a landing catch early within the sport, and the Texans’ offense simply wasn’t the identical with out him on the sector — it’s an enormous blow for a participant who’s already had some damage struggles early in his profession. And for a staff that wanted an injection on offense, although Nico Collins’ 91.6 grade is second amongst receivers.
10. Denver Broncos
Power of schedule up to now: 28
Power of schedule remaining: 2
Projected avg. wins: 9.89
% probability of creating the playoffs: 79.15
% probability of successful the division: 0.00
% probability of successful the convention: 3.57
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 1.51
The Broncos stay safe at 9-6 regardless of their Thursday night time loss to the Chargers, staying on monitor for his or her first playoff berth since their Tremendous Bowl win in 2015. After years of struggles, Denver is lastly on the cusp of returning to postseason relevancy. Pat Surtain’s 84.0 grade leads all cornerbacks this season.
11. Los Angeles Rams
Power of schedule up to now: 8
Power of schedule remaining: 23
Projected avg. wins: 10.29
% probability of creating the playoffs: 85.94
% probability of successful the division: 85.94
% probability of successful the convention: 6.44
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 2.85
The Rams scored 13 unanswered factors within the second half to safe a 19-9 victory over the Jets, enhancing to 9-6 and inching nearer to a playoff berth. Winners of eight of their final 10, the Rams now maintain a 76% probability of claiming the NFC West after Week 16’s outcomes. Sean McVay’s squad is heating up on the good time and has the expertise to make waves within the postseason. Puka Nacua leads all receivers with a 92.3 grade.
12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Power of schedule up to now: 5
Power of schedule remaining: 30
Projected avg. wins: 9.50
% probability of creating the playoffs: 57.18
% probability of successful the division: 51.11
% probability of successful the convention: 3.67
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 1.54
Issues are tightening up within the NFC South after the Buccaneers’ loss and the Falcons’ win in Week 16. Each groups sit at 8-7, leaving Tampa Bay with a roughly 50% probability of capturing the division title with two video games left. With matchups towards the Panthers and Saints to shut out the season, the Buccaneers nonetheless look like the staff to beat. A technique or one other, this race will likely be one to observe. Bucky Irving’s 87.8 grade ranks sixth amongst operating backs.
13. Los Angeles Chargers
Power of schedule up to now: 21
Power of schedule remaining: 28
Projected avg. wins: 10.37
% probability of creating the playoffs: 95.04
% probability of successful the division: 0.00
% probability of successful the convention: 4.01
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 1.59
Three losses in 4 video games had induced questionable doubts over the Chargers, however they responded final Thursday night time with a powerful 34-27 victory over the Broncos, boosting their file to 9-6 and their playoff odds to an nearly sure 95%. The protection is twenty fourth in EPA allowed per play during the last six weeks, and that’s a fear, however Justin Herbert has been lifting the staff, and his 89.5 grade is fourth amongst quarterbacks.
14. Washington Commanders
Power of schedule up to now: 32
Power of schedule remaining: 19
Projected avg. wins: 11.25
% probability of creating the playoffs: 93.93
% probability of successful the division: 0.80
% probability of successful the convention: 4.64
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 2.04
Regardless of committing 5 turnovers, the Commanders pulled off a surprising upset over the Eagles, protecting their divisional hopes alive and boosting their playoff odds to 94%. Washington repeatedly fought again, led by Jayden Daniels’ electrifying five-touchdown efficiency. Daniels, whose 88.8 grade ranks fifth amongst quarterbacks, orchestrated a 22-point fourth quarter to finish the exceptional comeback and all however safe a playoff berth.
15. San Francisco 49ers
Power of schedule up to now: 4
Power of schedule remaining: 12
Projected avg. wins: 6.91
% probability of creating the playoffs: 0.00
% probability of successful the division: 0.00
% probability of successful the convention: 0.00
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 0.00
The 49ers have been formally eradicated from playoff rivalry earlier than stepping on the sector, however the 29-17 loss towards the Dolphins on Sunday afternoon rubber-stamped it. The 2024 season has been a slog for the 49ers, however simply as there have been issues out of their management, they’ve additionally simply not been fairly adequate at occasions. They’ll look to reassess and are available again stronger in 2025. George Kittle’s 91.4 grade is first amongst tight ends.
16. Cincinnati Bengals
Power of schedule up to now: 27
Power of schedule remaining: 10
Projected avg. wins: 7.94
% probability of creating the playoffs: 4.42
% probability of successful the division: 0.00
% probability of successful the convention: 0.18
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 0.08
The Bengals delivered a balanced efficiency of their win over the Browns, enhancing to 7-8 and protecting their slim playoff hopes alive. With only a 4% probability of reaching the postseason, the trail ahead is steep, however continued efforts like this give them a shot at staying in rivalry. Joe Burrow’s 91.9 grade ranks second amongst all NFL quarterbacks, highlighting his elite play this season.
17. Seattle Seahawks
Power of schedule up to now: 17
Power of schedule remaining: 15
Projected avg. wins: 8.93
% probability of creating the playoffs: 14.06
% probability of successful the division: 14.06
% probability of successful the convention: 0.53
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 0.26
The Seattle Seahawks saved their playoff hopes alive with a gritty 6-3 victory over the Chicago Bears on Thursday night time. The win positions Seattle to probably clinch the NFC West in Week 18, however their path to the division title stays unsure. The Los Angeles Rams might nonetheless declare the NFC West this weekend by securing the energy of victory tiebreaker.
In probably the most difficult playoff situations of Week 17, the Rams’ probabilities hinge on assist from a number of AFC groups, together with the Payments and Bengals.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba continues to shine, together with his 83.2 grade rating twelfth amongst receivers.
18. Miami Dolphins
Power of schedule up to now: 30
Power of schedule remaining: 24
Projected avg. wins: 8.16
% probability of creating the playoffs: 7.40
% probability of successful the division: 0.00
% probability of successful the convention: 0.28
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 0.15
The Dolphins stay alive within the AFC playoff race by the pores and skin of their tooth after a 29-17 win towards the 49ers. Their playoff probabilities sit at 8%, and the Dolphins want too many issues to go proper to make sure secure passage to the playoffs. Stranger issues have occurred, however the Dolphins have been blowing cold and hot for a month. Calais Campbell’s 83.0 grade is sixth amongst inside defenders.
19. Dallas Cowboys
Power of schedule up to now: 21
Power of schedule remaining: 3
Projected avg. wins: 7.60
% probability of creating the playoffs: 0.00
% probability of successful the division: 0.00
% probability of successful the convention: 0.00
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 0.00
The Cowboys have been formally eradicated from playoff rivalry following the Commanders’ Week 16 win, however they nonetheless put collectively a powerful displaying of their 26-24 victory over the Buccaneers on Sunday Evening Soccer. Whereas Dallas has performed considerably higher over the previous month, the advance got here too late to salvage their season. Micah Parsons stays a standout, together with his 90.0 grade rating sixth amongst edge rushers.
20. Atlanta Falcons
Power of schedule up to now: 18
Power of schedule remaining: 22
Projected avg. wins: 9.02
% probability of creating the playoffs: 48.89
% probability of successful the division: 48.89
% probability of successful the convention: 1.82
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 0.63
The Michael Penix Jr. period started in model because the Falcons rolled to a convincing 34-7 victory over the New York Giants. Raheem Morris’ squad leaned on a smothering defensive efficiency, highlighted by two pick-sixes and the electrical speeding of Bijan Robinson. Penix displayed poise in his first NFL begin, protecting Atlanta firmly within the playoff hunt at 8-7. Robinson continues to shine, together with his 91.5 grade rating second amongst operating backs.
21. Indianapolis Colts
Power of schedule up to now: 16
Power of schedule remaining: 32
Projected avg. wins: 8.37
% probability of creating the playoffs: 13.99
% probability of successful the division: 0.00
% probability of successful the convention: 0.18
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 0.05
Anthony Richardson threw simply 11 passes because the Colts leaned on their floor sport to safe a 38-30 victory over the Titans, enhancing to 7-8 on the season. Richardson and Jonathan Taylor mixed for a powerful 288 speeding yards and 4 touchdowns, powering the offense and protecting Indianapolis’ slim playoff hopes alive. Taylor carried out effectively, incomes a 77.0 speeding grade within the win.
22. New York Jets
Power of schedule up to now: 25
Power of schedule remaining: 5
Projected avg. wins: 4.65
% probability of creating the playoffs: 0.00
% probability of successful the division: 0.00
% probability of successful the convention: 0.00
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 0.00
The Jets dropped to 4-11, however the connection between Davante Adams and Aaron Rodgers continues to flash glimpses of their previous glory. The veteran duo accounted for the Jets’ lone landing, providing a uncommon spotlight in one other lackluster season. As at all times, the Jets stay constant in a technique: being entertaining for all of the unsuitable causes.
23. Arizona Cardinals
Power of schedule up to now: 7
Power of schedule remaining: 13
Projected avg. wins: 7.81
% probability of creating the playoffs: 0.00
% probability of successful the division: 0.00
% probability of successful the convention: 0.00
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 0.00
Issues have been rosy for the Cardinals two months in the past after they have been 6-4 heading into their bye week and atop the NFC West. Now, seven weeks later, they’ve simply been eradicated from playoff rivalry after dropping 4 of their final 5 video games, together with the 36-30 additional time loss to the Panthers in Week 16.
24. New Orleans Saints
Power of schedule up to now: 20
Power of schedule remaining: 21
Projected avg. wins: 5.86
% probability of creating the playoffs: 0.00
% probability of successful the division: 0.00
% probability of successful the convention: 0.00
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 0.00
The Saints have been embarrassed within the Lambeau Subject chilly, dropping 34-0 on Monday night time. Spencer Rattler was pressured repeatedly all through the sport, and the Saints simply couldn’t cease the frenzy. This was one to overlook for the Saints, however they’ll return to the drafting board. Erik McCoy’s 94.2 grade leads all facilities.
25. Chicago Bears
Power of schedule up to now: 10
Power of schedule remaining: 11
Projected avg. wins: 4.66
% probability of creating the playoffs: 0.00
% probability of successful the division: 0.00
% probability of successful the convention: 0.00
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 0.00
The vibes aren’t good in Chicago proper now, and the one encouraging final result was that Caleb Williams is displaying flashes. Nonetheless, most Bears followers are simply begging for the candy launch of the offseason at this level.
26. Cleveland Browns
Power of schedule up to now: 3
Power of schedule remaining: 6
Projected avg. wins: 3.52
% probability of creating the playoffs: 0.00
% probability of successful the division: 0.00
% probability of successful the convention: 0.00
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 0.00
There’s nothing left however draft order to play for, however the Browns’ offense actually struggled with Dorian Thompson-Robinson at quarterback. The Browns have the Dolphins and Ravens up subsequent, and they’re at present slated to select No. 5 within the 2025 draft.
27. Jacksonville Jaguars
Power of schedule up to now: 13
Power of schedule remaining: 25
Projected avg. wins: 3.82
% probability of creating the playoffs: 0.00
% probability of successful the division: 0.00
% probability of successful the convention: 0.00
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 0.00
Jacksonville has discovered its star receiver in Brian Thomas Jr. The standout rookie caught 9 passes for 132 yards and a landing within the loss, breaking the franchise file for many receptions by a rookie with 73. The Jaguars are at present slated for the No. 3 choose within the draft, setting the stage for vital adjustments within the offseason, probably together with a brand new head coach and entrance workplace. Thomas Jr.’s 81.5 receiving grade ranks second amongst rookie receivers.
28. Carolina Panthers
Power of schedule up to now: 26
Power of schedule remaining: 14
Projected avg. wins: 4.55
% probability of creating the playoffs: 0.00
% probability of successful the division: 0.00
% probability of successful the convention: 0.00
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 0.00
The Panthers have proven promise since Bryce Younger took over because the starter, and their efforts lastly paid off with a win towards a staff over .500 for the primary time since Week 3. Younger, Chuba Hubbard and the offense might kind a formidable unit with a couple of sensible offseason additions. Whereas the protection requires vital consideration, there’s real hope in Carolina. Younger’s 91.7 grade led all quarterbacks in Week 16.
29. Las Vegas Raiders
Power of schedule up to now: 2
Power of schedule remaining: 18
Projected avg. wins: 3.73
% probability of creating the playoffs: 0.00
% probability of successful the division: 0.00
% probability of successful the convention: 0.00
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 0.00
The Raiders snapped a ten-game dropping streak with a slender 19-14 victory, however the win got here at a value. Beginning the day in line for the No. 2 total choose, they now sit at No. 6, a less-than-ideal place for a staff needing a quarterback in a draft skinny on top-tier choices. Brock Bowers’ 85.8 grade is second amongst tight ends.
30. New England Patriots
Power of schedule up to now: 30
Power of schedule remaining: 2
Projected avg. wins: 3.50
% probability of creating the playoffs: 0.00
% probability of successful the division: 0.00
% probability of successful the convention: 0.00
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 0.00
The Patriots put up a combat towards the Payments, with Drake Maye delivering one other sturdy displaying at quarterback, however they finally fell quick, struggling their fifth-straight loss to drop to 3-12. They now be part of 4 different groups with the identical file however would maintain the No. 2 total choose if the season ended at this time. Maye’s 89.4 speeding grade ranks fifth amongst quarterbacks.
31. Tennessee Titans
Power of schedule up to now: 6
Power of schedule remaining: 20
Projected avg. wins: 3.76
% probability of creating the playoffs: 0.00
% probability of successful the division: 0.00
% probability of successful the convention: 0.00
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 0.00
The Titans made a late push with 22 unanswered factors to shut inside a landing of the Colts, however their comeback fell quick. Now sitting at 3-12 with Mason Rudolph below middle, the main focus seems to have shifted to the 2025 NFL Draft and the potential of securing a top-five choose. May a brand new quarterback be in Tennessee’s future? Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has been a shiny spot, together with his 9 touchdowns rating fifth amongst receivers.
32. New York Giants
Power of schedule up to now: 14
Power of schedule remaining: 11
Projected avg. wins: 2.44
% probability of creating the playoffs: 0.00
% probability of successful the division: 0.00
% probability of successful the convention: 0.00
% probability of successful the Tremendous Bowl: 0.00
The Giants’ offensive struggles continued as they failed to attain double digits for the fifth time this season in a 34-7 loss to the Falcons. Drew Lock’s two pick-sixes additional sealed their destiny, protecting New York on monitor for the primary total choose within the 2025 NFL Draft. There’s little left to investigate for this season— right here’s to brighter days forward. Malik Nabers’ 82.9 grade leads all rookie receivers.
