Welcome to PFF’s weekly midweek market replace.
This text will clarify the components that drive line actions in betting markets, serving to you assess whether or not a change is an overreaction or underreaction to those market influences.
Harm, climate situations and public decide releases can all have an effect on line motion. Click on right here for a deeper clarification of what we purpose to realize with this text. Lookahead strains weren’t accessible forward of this week.
Click on right here to leap to a sport:
LAC@HOU | PIT@BAL | DEN@BUF | GB@PHI | WAS@TB | MIN@LAR
Los Angeles Chargers @ Houston Texans
| Opener | Present Line | |
| Unfold | LAC -3 | LAC -3 |
| Whole | 44 | 42.5 |
Unfold: This matchup opened at 3 and noticed some early motion between 2.5 and three on Monday. Since then, it has settled at 3, although a couple of books are nonetheless holding at 2.5.
Whole: Heavy motion on the beneath has pushed the full down from its opening line of 44 to 42.5. At this level, 42.5 is the consensus throughout the board.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens
| Opener | Present Line | |
| Unfold | BAL -9 | BAL -9.5 |
| Whole | 46 | 44 |
Unfold: For the third time this season, the Steelers and Ravens will conflict. Pittsburgh opened as 3.5-point underdogs in Week 11, 7-point underdogs in Week 16 and now discover themselves as practically 10-point underdogs. The road has fluctuated between 9.5 and 10 all through the week, with the market remaining break up between these two numbers.
Whole: A decide launch on the beneath at 45.5 initially drove the full down as little as 43. Nevertheless, resistance at that time has prompted a rebound, with most books now sitting at 44. Some 43.5s are nonetheless accessible.
Denver Broncos @ Buffalo Payments
| Opener | Present Line | |
| Unfold | BUF -8 | BUF -9 |
| Whole | 47 | 46 |
Unfold: Buffalo has shifted to a 9-point favourite after opening at 8. The road briefly touched 9.5 earlier than settling again all the way down to 9. A ten-point unfold has but to floor, although some 8.5s are nonetheless accessible.
Whole: The overall held agency at 47 earlier within the week, however we’ve not too long ago seen some motion downward to 46.5 at choose books. A mixture of 47s and some 47.5s are nonetheless accessible.
Purchase/Promote: I’ll take the beneath at 47 (-109) accessible at Kambi sportsbooks (Rivers, Sugarhouse, Parx) over laying -120 for 47.5 at FanDuel.
Inexperienced Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles
| Opener | Present Line | |
| Unfold | PHI -4 | PHI -4.5 |
| Whole | 46 | 45 |
Unfold: Philadelphia opened as a 5.5-point favourite on Monday however has seen some fluctuation between 4 and 5 factors amid information that Jalen Hurts stays in concussion protocol. The road doesn’t seem to mirror important concern over his availability for the sport.
Whole: The overall has began to pattern downward, with some market leaders now at 45. It appears unlikely to drop a lot farther from this level.
Washington Commanders @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
| Opener | Present Line | |
| Unfold | TB -3 | TB -3 |
| Whole | 50.5 | 50 |
Unfold: The unfold has held regular, with Tampa remaining a 3-point favourite for the reason that market opened. Nevertheless, the vig suggests rising assist for Washington as a 3-point underdog.
Whole: After peaking at 51, the full has dipped beneath its opening variety of 50.5, with some books now itemizing it beneath 50. For these in search of the upper quantity, 50.5 remains to be accessible at a number of broadly accessible sportsbooks.
Minnesota Vikings @ Los Angeles Rams
| Opener | Present Line | |
| Unfold | MIN -2 | PK |
| Whole | 47 | 48 |
Unfold: Following a lackluster exhibiting in a must-win sport, the Vikings now face a real toss-up towards a Rams group that rested its starters final week. The road has shifted in favor of the Rams, with some books even itemizing them as slight favorites earlier than Minnesota assist introduced it again to a decide’em.
Whole: The overall has seen a modest improve, with the market at the moment break up between 47.5 and 48.
Purchase/Promote: I’ll again the Rams’ motion and lock of their moneyline at +100 on FanDuel. For those who can entry sweepstakes books, you may discover a good higher worth. Regardless of Minnesota’s 14-win season, my analysis offers the sting to Los Angeles on this matchup.
