Through the years, PFF knowledge scientists have carried out intensive research to raised perceive and predict participant efficiency. Whereas many of those foundational works proceed to form discussions and affect evaluation, the main target right here is on figuring out how these insights apply to particular weekly matchups and uncovering alternatives the betting market might have ignored.
Some bets will align with conventional markets, whereas others will discover extra area of interest choices to make sure we leverage probably the most appropriate markets for a given thesis or angle.
Vikings QB Sam Darnold takes benefit of the Falcons’ weak cross rush
In our PFF research on quarterback traits, we highlighted how a quarterback’s model of play considerably impacts their sensitivity to their environment and atmosphere. Gamers like Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson, who excel at creating out of construction, are far much less depending on favorable circumstances in comparison with quarterbacks like Jared Goff, who are inclined to battle when performs break down.
One solution to quantify this phenomenon is by inspecting how quarterbacks carry out when a play is disrupted, notably beneath disruption stress — stress that stops a play from ever totally growing. This metric affords useful perception right into a quarterback’s capability to deal with adversity and preserve effectivity when their atmosphere turns into much less predictable.
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