Welcome to the School Soccer Playoff semifinal betting market replace.
This text will clarify the elements that drive line actions in betting markets, serving to you assess whether or not a change is an overreaction or underreaction to those market influences.
When you aren’t acquainted, Click on right here for a deeper clarification of what we goal to attain every week.
CAPITAL ONE ORANGE BOWL: NOTRE DAME VS. PENN STATE
| Lookahead | Opener | Present Line | |
| Unfold | ND -1.5 | ND -1.5 | ND -2 |
| Complete | 45.5 | 46.5 | 45 |
Unfold: We noticed this unfold transfer as much as 2 shortly after opening. There wasn’t a lot motion over the weekend, however now books are taking this to 2.5. The market is at the moment cut up between these two numbers. We’ve not seen a 3 anyplace, and I don’t anticipate we do.
Complete: The preliminary transfer right here was as much as as excessive as 47.5. Because it’s hit that mark, it’s been a constant slide right down to the place it sits now at 45. There are nonetheless some 45.5s on the board.
Purchase/Promote: When you missed it, I’m on the below right here. Regardless of the decrease quantity now, I nonetheless just like the below at 45.5.
Nationwide Championship Odds: Notre Dame +410 | Penn State +500
GOODYEAR COTTON BOWL CLASSIC: OHIO STATE VS. TEXAS
| Lookahead | Opener | Present Line | |
| Unfold | OSU -1.5 | OSU -6 | OSU -6 |
| Complete | 51.5 | 54 | 53.5 |
Unfold: It has been fairly the adjustment from the lookaheads to now, with Ohio State holding a 6-point benefit. We’ve seen this get right down to as little as 5 earlier than leaping again as much as 6. The market is fairly cut up now between 5.5 and 6.
Complete: The full has not moved a lot in addition to a half-point lower to 53.5. A couple of books have taken that down even additional to 53.
Purchase/Promote: I’m again to fade Ohio State as soon as extra. Regardless that lookahead markets are comparatively illiquid, I feel this transfer was an excessive amount of, and I’ll take Texas +6. If you will discover a flat +5.5, I’d favor that quantity.
Nationwide Championship Odds: Ohio State -120 | Texas +450
