Payments safe AFC East, Ravens proceed with self-inflicted wounds
Mackenzie Salmon breaks down the highest storylines from Week 13 within the NFL.
Sports activities Significantly
The Detroit Lions and Inexperienced Bay Packers bookended Thanksgiving Day by each incomes short-week wins at residence. Seven days later, the 2 will sq. off in a battle that may decide precisely how a lot management Detroit has over the NFC North.
The Lions enter their Week 14 matchup tied with the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs for one of the best report within the NFL at 11-1. Detroit has gained a franchise report 10 consecutive video games however will face a stiff check towards a Inexperienced Bay staff that has typically given it bother.
The Packers (9-3) will intention to perform two targets in Week 14. Their foremost one will likely be to win and preserve tempo with the Lions and the 10-2 Minnesota Vikings in a stacked NFC North race. The post-Thanksgiving facet dish will likely be to get revenge on the Lions for beating them at Lambeau Discipline in Week 9 when quarterback Jordan Love was enjoying by a groin harm.
Detroit and Inexperienced Bay sport two of the league’s greatest scoring offenses. The Lions common a league-high 31.9 factors per sport whereas the Packers rank eighth with a 26.5 level per sport common. That can excite bettors preferring to again the over on participant props and hunt for worth on anytime landing scorers.
What are one of the best bets for “Thursday Night time Soccer?” Listed below are some props and anytime TD bets to think about for “TNF’s” Week 14 NFC North battle.
Thursday Night time Soccer greatest bets
All odds are by way of BetMGM as of Thursday.
Jordan Love OVER 248.5 passing yards (-115)
Love has made three profession begins towards the Lions in his profession. Beneath is a take a look at his passing stat traces from these video games:
- Week 4, 2023: 23-of-36 passing, 246 yards, 1 TD, 2 INTs
- Week 12, 2023: 22-of-32 passing, 268 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INTs
- Week 9, 2024: 23-of-39 passing, 273 yards, 0 TDs, 1 INT
Love solely got here up in need of the 249 yards wanted to exceed this slightly low over/underneath complete in his first begin towards the Lions, which was additionally simply his fifth profession NFL begin. Even so, he got here near exceeding the whole, so he ought to have an opportunity to take action in Week 14.
Additionally of notice, the 2024 Lions have allowed all however one quarterback that has confronted them to aim not less than 27 passes. Love has tried not less than 27 passes in six video games this season; in 5 of these, he has logged not less than 250 passing yards.
If each developments proceed, Love ought to have a robust probability to hit the over in what may very well be a high-scoring sport.
Jahmyr Gibbs OVER 68.5 speeding yards (-115)
Gibbs solely obtained 9 carries on Thanksgiving, so which will scare some off his over speeding complete. His small workload on Turkey Day was probably associated to his 21-carry efficiency in Week 12 towards the Indianapolis Colts.
Gibbs had simply three days of restoration earlier than Detroit’s Thanksgiving afternoon matchup, and his 21 carries had been the second-most he had logged in a sport throughout his profession. Dan Campbell could have been attempting to guard his star, younger working again from being overworked because the Lions look to make a Tremendous Bowl run, so it appears probably that Gibbs will get extra work on regular relaxation.
Even when not, Gibbs will nonetheless have an opportunity to go over his comparatively low speeding complete, simply as he did on Thanksgiving (87 yards on 9 carries). The Packers let him run for 65 yards on 11 carries of their final assembly at a rain-soaked Lambeau Discipline. An identical workload in additional favorable circumstances at Detroit’s domed stadium must be sufficient to get Gibbs the 70-odd yards he must make bettors pleased.
Jayden Reed anytime TD (+145)
The Lions have allowed simply 9 complete touchdowns to large receivers this 12 months, however they have a tendency to have a harder time guarding receivers who play primarily within the slot. This was evidenced by Keenan Allen’s two-touchdown efficiency towards them on Thanksgiving and their early-season scores allowed to Cooper Kupp and Chris Godwin.
Reed is the Packers’ major slot receiver and has seen an uptick in red-zone targets over Inexperienced Bay’s final two video games. He has scored thrice on these 5 red-zone targets and had an opportunity to attain a deep-ball landing towards the Miami Dolphins in Week 13 had Love not overthrown him in sub-freezing circumstances.
This may occasionally really feel like chasing factors given the Packers’ ever-changing pecking order at receiver, however Reed seems to be a key a part of Matt LaFleur’s sport close to the purpose line. It is price watching Romeo Doubs’ standing as he appears to return from a concussion, however even when he performs, Reed ought to have an opportunity to attain in a possible pass-heavy sport for the Packers.
Sam LaPorta anytime TD (+175)
LaPorta has racked up 9 red-zone targets for the Lions to date throughout the 2024 NFL season. That is good for the second-most on the staff, behind solely Amon-Ra St. Brown (16).
Over the past 4 video games, LaPorta has outperformed St. Brown within the purple zone, seeing extra targets and catching extra touchdowns than his counterpart. Beneath is a comparability between the duo’s red-zone stats from the final 4 video games.
Sam LaPorta red-zone stats since Week 10
- Targets: 6
- Catches: 3
- Receiving yards: 24
- Receiving TDs: 3
Amon-Ra St. Brown red-zone stats since Week 10
- Targets: 5
- Catches: 4
- Receiving yards: 37
- Receiving TDs: 2
The Packers are tied with the fifth-most receptions allowed to tight ends this season, so LaPorta’s +175 odds to catch a landing seem like a very good worth in comparison with these of St. Brown (+100).
