Bye weeks are nearing an finish within the NFL as we head into Week 14.
Props have been a barely higher than a 50/50 endeavor this 12 months; season-long bettors are profiting 5.25 models, and now we have a 22-21 file.
It’s not best, as even a profiting 12 months remains to be the worst I’ve had since 2020.
We head into Week 14, some higher-profile gamers to snag some victories each in lengthy photographs and over/underneath.
As seemingly at all times, Bet365 has the most effective odds on the betting market by far on long-shot props.
Week 14 NFL participant props
Tyrone Tracy Jr. over 62.5 (-113, ESPN BET) | 150+ dashing yards (17/1, Bet365)
The Saints’ run protection stinks, they’re ranked No. 32 within the NFL, in line with FTN’s defense-value adjusted over common (DVOA) run protection.
You need to be wagering this one as follows, one unit on over 62.5 dashing yards, with one other half unit unfold out between the alternate overs, .25 unit on 100+ (+425) and .2 models on 125+ +1060 (FanDuel) after which prime it off with a .05 unit guess on Tracy at 150+.
He’s eclipsed 100 dashing yards in two of his final three video games, together with 145 dashing yards towards a troublesome Steelers protection on Oct. 28.
The New Orleans run protection is such a plus matchup that you could possibly see an explosion from him on Sunday.
Justin Jefferson over 83.5 receiving yards (-110, Fanatics) | 175+ receiving (14/1, FanDuel) | 10+ receptions (+650, Laborious Rock)
DVOA battles Professional Soccer Focus this weekend, because the Falcons are rated No. 5 in protection for PFF whereas DVOA has them at No. 23.
They haven’t precisely handed the attention check at a number of occasions this 12 months, they usually’ve allowed large receivers to eat to the tune of the fourth most fantasy factors allowed to opposing receivers this season.
Atlanta additionally permits the fourth most receptions to opposing receivers.
Make investments about 1.25 models on these three wagers as this recreation might simply turn out to be a shootout earlier than lengthy.
Cooper Rush over 1.5 dashing makes an attempt (-135, DraftKings) | 5+ (12/1, Bet365)
He’s not efficient at operating, however that doesn’t imply a money isn’t attainable for this prop.
Rush’s final two video games as a starter, he’s had 4 rush makes an attempt for one complete internet yard and 5 makes an attempt for zero yards.
Simply because he isn’t good at it doesn’t imply he gained’t attempt, and there’s nobody value attempting towards than the Bengals.
Betting on the NFL?
The Bengals enable the second most dashing yards per recreation (34.25) to opposing quarterbacks within the NFL and probably the most makes an attempt per recreation (6.83).
Kneel downs would additionally depend for this prop, so by betting this for “Monday Night time Soccer,” you’re additionally hoping for a shootout the place the Cowboys get a couple of kneel downs to ice it.
Why Belief New York Put up Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt however he has a black belt in MMA betting. Through the soccer season he’s showcased huge earnings at The Put up within the participant prop market the final two seasons. Whereas continuously betting lengthy photographs, his return on funding is 30.15 p.c since 2022.
